Events are moving quickly in our highly ‘financialised’ markets with rising concerns around global liquidity, as evidenced by the sell-off in Credit Suisse and other European banking shares. The views expressed below have not changed. Australian Banks are well capitalised and the market is experiencing more...
Falling equity and bond markets Higher interest rates and stubborn inflation Risk of recession rising Earnings estimates too high Buy the dip? Risks are rising “On balance, the risks for investors have risen substantially, so you need to assess what works for you to sleep...
The worst start to the year for US stocks since 2008. How did it all go so wrong, so quickly? Well in the same way as investors chose to ignore many risks in 2021, many have awoken to the harsh reality that sentiment has turned and what...
The correction we had to have September lived up the bear’s warnings and the ASX200 fell 2.69%. But with dividends included the total return came in at negative 1.85% using Standard & Poor’s data. The US markets fared worse with the S&P500 down 4.76% and 4.65%...
The US bull market has legs A couple of weeks back, my son asked “Mum, what’s a good stock to buy in the US?”. (Bear in mind he has been investing in the US markets for well over a year and does have the benefit of a...
I want to talk about Big Tech. In 2015/16 I restructured my SMSF share portfolio. I sold my Australian bank shares in 2015 and I was looking to diversify my share holdings into more secular growth themes and decided to start investing directly in the US...
Reporting season update As the Australian reporting season moves to the busiest week on the calendar, let’s take a look at what factors have been moving the Australian stock market. Earnings season to date has seen around 140 companies report for the FNArena calendar of stocks...
Happy New Year Shareplicity friends. As the first anniversary of the first reported COVID case passed without fanfare, I want you all to consider what’s install for the next twelve months. Here’s where we are at here in Australia and in the US, as we head...
Casting an eye back over 2020 shows yet again that forecasting the future and hence the stock market is fraught with risk. No matter how many times we were all warned by former Presidents, from George Bush Jnr to Obama and billionaire Ted-X speaker Bill Gates,...
I had the good fortune to participate in a live webinar with the former head of Barings’ Research this week, Michael Howell, who runs CrossBorder Capital in London. A link to the presentation is available at the end. Michael has specialised in the analysis of global...